Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Monxter Store Championship
decks
3
(10.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-3-4
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.7%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
56.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1329
· median 1383
· range 1198–1407
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1168
Q3 1280
1465
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 13.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.0% | +3.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.3% | -6.4 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Fractal | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -6.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.4% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 48.5% | -1.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
| Fire Neos | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.4% | -24.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.4% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 37.7% | -9.2 |
